Throughout the world of finance, there is one key goal: avoiding losing money. Futures trading certainly echoes this sentiment. However, unlike the vast majority of conventional business models, capital drawdowns can be a positive part of futures trading. If done correctly, losing is an invaluable part of trader development.
In this blog post, we’ll look at three tools for enhancing your futures trading skills by learning from past victories and defeats.
Keep a Trade Log
A positive attribute of any winning trader is consistency. Profitable futures traders employ adopted strategies regularly, free of undue deviations. By executing trades in a consistent fashion, a trader can produce quantifiable and replicable results.
One of the tools used to document a strategy’s execution is the trade log. Trade logs come in all shapes and sizes, but they typically answer the following three questions:
- Buy/sell: Was the trade a buy or a sell?
- Profit/loss: Did the trade generate a net profit or loss?
- Market state: Was the market trending, under reversal, or consolidating?
Perhaps the most important of all futures trading skills is consistency. A trade log provides a broad look at all executed trades, the resulting P&L, and prevailing market conditions. It gives traders the ability to compare apples to apples and identify any potential soft spots in their comprehensive trading plan.
Use the Trader’s Scorecard
Once each trade has been documented, it is possible to conduct an honest performance evaluation. One way to accomplish this goal is to grade your futures trading skills on the trader’s scorecard.
When conducting the evaluation process, there is no need for ambiguity. The market judges participants on a pass-fail basis―arbitrary ratings such as A, B, C, or D are irrelevant. If you make money, you pass; if not, you fail.
Of course, the scale on which success is measured is nuanced. And, unfortunately for active traders, bad habits can be overshadowed by “lucky” trades, small sample sizes, and hindsight bias. To get a truer picture of performance, the trader’s scorecard addresses specific questions on a trade-by-trade basis:
- Trade execution: Did I place orders accurately, in a timely fashion? Was slippage present? If so, how much?
- Risk management: Were established risk management parameters employed? Was risk always quantified ahead of market entry, or was it quantified after the fact?
- Strategic adherence: Did I stick to my strategy? Were all identified trading opportunities taken? Were any trades executed that fell outside of my strategy?
- Mindset: What was my mindset before and after each trade? Did I maintain a positive outlook in the wake of a win or loss? Did I become angry, aggressive, distraught, or euphoric following a single trade?
By answering these questions, you’ll be able to thoroughly vet both winning and losing trades. Losses stemming from physical errors, emotional trading, or haphazard risk management become obvious. In addition, you can recognize profits attributable to unplanned trades or added leverage. Either way, bad habits are apparent, and you can take steps to mitigate them and shore up future performance.
Don’t Forget to Journal
By far, journaling is one of the more overlooked futures trading skills by traders new to the markets. A detailed journal offers useful insights into each day’s successes or failures. Additionally, the journal gives the trader closure, officially “putting to bed” the trading day, week, month, or year.
In practice, the journal is a comprehensive look at both the trade log and the trader’s scorecard. It documents several key pieces of information:
- Successes: Were my successes planned and repeatable?
- Failures: Were my losses justified and taken within the confines of my trading strategy?
- Mental state: What was my mental state throughout the period in question? Was my temperament volatile or even-keeled?
- Observations: Was the market erratic or relatively stable? Did any planned or outlier events shake up price action? How did my strategy fare amid atypical trading conditions?
The road to consistent profitability is long and winding. However, by keeping a detailed journal, it’s possible to learn from periodic shortcomings. Moreover, it’s exponentially easier to avoid making the same mistake twice!
